Introduction
The Colorado Rockies have the unique advantage of playing at the highest altitude in the Major Leagues. The Colorado Rockies are another one of those teams with ownership that refuses to spend money. However, when they do it confuses you to no end. Nobody to this day understands why they let Nolan Arenado walk for nothing but signed Kris Bryant to a big contract. Unfortunately, their roster is thoroughly unimpressive and really hasn’t seen much change from last year. The MGM power rankings list their odds to win the world series at +20000. Their record last year was 68-94 in last place of the NL West. I think this is the first team I actually disagree with and think they should be lower. I hope the Rockies prove me wrong.
Batting Lineup
Overall, I think the lineup is just ok. Nobody in this lineup truly makes me go “WOW!, there’s a difference maker!”. However, I suppose numbers 2 through 7 are individual good players. Not sure how they perform and judging by last season’s performance this team lacks consistency. We also have to keep in mind that thin Rocky air kind of inflates power numbers. My standouts are Kris Bryant and CJ Cron. These two guys need to have monster seasons if the Rockies want a chance to climb out of the basement. This lineup has plenty of veteran leadership and there is no reason they can’t be good. Honorable mention to Ryan McMahon, who tends to be clutch especially against my Mets. Overall the lineup is decent but it needs someone to step up as the “X factor”. Check out my post on Kris Bryant here.
Starting Rotation
The starting rotation actually has some talented pitchers. I believe in a similar fashion to the hitter, the thin air does affect their stats. With that in mind, the Rockies have a solid three pitchers with two questionable ones. My standouts are Kyle Freeland, German Marquez and Austin Gomber. If these three put up career best or better seasons, it will give the Rockies at least a shot at winning games. Once again I think the disadvantage of pitchers in Colorado both hurts and helps the Rockies. Unfortunately, it doesn’t get much better in the bullpen.
Bullpen
It’s a similar story here in the bullpen, the thin air really hurts the stats of pitchers and hitters. But at least the Rockies have one standout player, Daniel Bard. Before we get to why Bard is so good, the other guys like Brent Suter and Nick Mears haven’t pitched in Colorado yet so it’s hard to know what we got in them. But returning to Bard, he is one of the better closers in the league. Bard has been doing it consistently too. If you take a look at his three years in Colorado, he’s been pretty lights out. He even had MVP votes last season. The Rockies need a few more pitchers like him.
My Prediction
The lack of moves this offseason plus the divide in talent between the Rockies and the other teams in the NL West really makes me doubt their ability to improve much beyond last season. Don’t get me wrong, the Rockies have good players but they improve their roster from last season. My prediction for 2023 is a worst record of 65-97 and a best record of 72-90. The floor and ceiling is 5th place in the NL west that’s barring a dramatic step back of the Diamondbacks or Giants. Sorry Rockies fans, tell your ownership to spend more money.
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Thanks to Baseball Reference and Fangraphs for the statistics and charts!