Follow Up: Blowback of Russia/Ukraine Conflict

I want to tell you this post will be shorter but I’d be lying to myself. This post is just an update on some stuff that has happened since the invasion of Ukraine occurred two weeks ago. I want to address the sanctions that keep piling on Russia. I’d also like to talk about how Russia is dealing with these isolating sanctions. To end it, I’ll probably discuss what the hell the US is trying to do within the context of this conflict. I believe the US has an ulterior motive.

Sanctions: Economic Turmoil

By now, you’ve probably heard about the ridiculous amount of sanctions being piled on Russia. Russia may deserve a vast majority of it. Unfortunately, the sanctions are not doing what you think they are. To the causal observer it might appear that Russia would suffer especially Vladimir Putin. However, the sanctions such as they are, more often affect the people of Russia who had no part or role in deciding to invade Ukraine. In fact, many Russian people have tried to protest the war. This is extremely unfair to punish innocent people. I believe sanctions are flawed and wrong just as much as war is. But here we are.

The sanctions have for the most part cut off Russia from the rest of world with a few exceptions (China and Russia agreed to new payment system). Putin has not shown any signs of slowing down. I think the sanctions failing to slow Putin just shows how much a win means to him. In my last post, I predicted that Putin either wouldn’t stop unless he got his pro-Russian territories and the canal leading to crimean plus a Ukraine puppet state similar to Belarus. It seems that only a compromise guaranteeing Putin either a puppet state or the other two things would stop the bloodshed. It’s hard to ignore that NATO trying push closer to the Russia border makes Putin uncomfortable. Remember NATO is foundationally anti-Russia organization. So Putin is truly being backed into a corner and he’s not going down without a fight.

Russia: Looking for a Deal

There is no doubt that the Russian economy is about implode. Russia isn’t as fucked as you might. The country sits on top a lot of natural resources mainly oil. Russia also has the gift of fertile wheat fields. Unfortunately with most payment companies pulling out of Russia and most Russia financial assets being frozen, the ruble is going to crash hard. This will obviously hurt the Russia people more than anything. I know the US thinks sanctions will hurt Putin’s war effort. They forgot about those natural resources. Russia exports a lot of oil worldwide mostly to Europe and 3 percent to the US. Russia also exports a lot of wheat. (not more than US tho) So naturally, when the invasion started gas and wheat prices spiked. This was due to fear there would be disruptions in supply. The mainstream propaganda is that Putin is responsible for the price increases. This is 100 percent wrong. Let me explain why.

The oil market is based on supply and demand. It’s complicated especially with alliances like OPEC. Russian oil mainly exported through a pipeline to Europe. This was shutdown by Germany. So rising gas prices in Europe are thanks to sanctions meant to hurt Russia. Here in the US, the oil is shipped in tankers. A loss of 3 percent of imported oil might see a temporary spike but in reality the US oil industry is capable of a 70 percent market share. Biden handicapped the ability to drill on federal land in his first month in office. So the rising gas prices in the US are actually due to Biden’s policies and fear mongering about the war. Mind you this isn’t even the scary part

The news broke a day or two ago that Saudi Arabia and China have agreed to a 10 billion dollar deal to build refineries to help refine Russian oil. I found an article related to this deal, which basically Saudi Arabia would sell oil for the Chinese Yuan. The article explains the basics of the Petrodollar which is a whole other conversation. The moral of the story here is that China, a US rival is helping Russia, a current enemy to get oil sold to help pay for Putin’s war. The Biden administration is quite literally castrating the US oil market and helping Putin invade Ukraine. This makes all those sanctions pretty useless. The reality is that the US could dominate the oil market and drop oil prices (somewhat limited by inflation) by flooding the supply but they don’t want to on purpose.

US: Ulterior Motives

I believe the crazy shift in coverage and outrage over the invasion of Ukraine over the last two years of covid hysteria has some kind of ulterior motive. I tweeted something that sort of sums up what I think it might be:

I have a few theories…

Green New Deal push
Neoliberal reorganization
China's push for reserve currency holder

And of course the most obvious smoke in mirrors for any of the above https://t.co/3DiaGo29bv

— Garrett (@TechAnalytics12) March 15, 2022

I was answering Clint’s question but I think what he was getting at, was that there’s a reason for the mass coverage of Ukraine. Let me take each one of those motives individually.

1. Green New Deal Push: This one makes the most sense especially with the dramatic rise in oil prices. The whitehouse even had the balls to tell people to “just buy an electric vehicle” as if those are super cheap. I know that they have been trying force climate change narratives for years now and this presents maybe the best opportunity.
2. Neoliberal Re-organization: This just means a power reshuffle. The WEF and other shadow powers are tired of Putin and want to remove him. Putin is a former member of the WEF and he’s obviously gone off agenda. They can’t have him screwing things for them.
3. Chinese Push for reserve currency holder: This ties in with the Saudi’s accepting the Chinese Yuan for oil. Right now the US dollar is the standard reserve currency. Its been a long term goal of China to replace the dollar with the Yuan as standard reserve currency. A lot of Chinese financial policies and economic moves are towards this end. With Russia isolated, there is a good chance that China has jumped in to support them. The Chinese have to see this as an opportunity to build their hegemony around Asia. The oil deal also gives them another step up to the standard reserve currency.

Conclusion

I hope you enjoyed reading this obviously not short post. I’m still waiting to see if Putin will compromise to stop bloodshed or if NATO is willing to shed more blood by backing Putin more into a corner. I really don’t believe this would be happening if NATO had been disbanded in 1990. We face a tough reality especially with rising inflation and economic turmoil. I hope that things get better and improve. At this point, we are all along for the ride.

Thank you again.

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The Russia/Ukraine Conflict: Geopolitical Chess

Hello again, as usual inspiration to write comes in bursts. The topic at hand here is the hottest and most controversial happening thus far in 2022. The violence and destruction of war is horrible. Although war is my favorite thing to study, it is often the worst human activity to take place. This particular post will focus more on the geopolitics of this conflict taking place in the Ukraine. The Russian/Ukraine conflict isn’t a random invasion. There are some very specific reasons why its taking place. Fortunately for you, dear reader, one of my expertise is geopolitics and international relations.

History Of Conflict

Let’s start with NATO or North America Treaty Organization. It was established in 1947 with signing of the Treaty of Dunkirk after World War 2. NATO’s stated goal is achieve a peaceful alliance with its members. But the understated, ulterior goal is to act as a buffer to the Soviet Union at the time. (Remember 1947 was the very beginning of the cold war) NATO is one of the players in this chess game.

Now let’s focus on Ukraine, the country being currently invaded by Russia. Ukraine is an eastern European country with a long history. Many Ukrainians have Russian heritage. The most significant history to know about Ukraine as it relates to Russia, is that from the end of the Russian Revolution in 1919 onward until about January 21, 1990, the Soviets held power in Ukraine. For nearly 71 years, Ukraine was Russian controlled. Ukraine has struggled with corruption and economic problems since being free. Ukraine is also a candidate to become a NATO member. I should also note that Ukraine borders Russia on the North and East sides.

The last thing I want to touch on is precedence of Russian PM Vladimir Putin actions against and in the Ukraine. Most notably, the annexation of Crimea in 2014. (its a long complicated event so I will briefly summarize, you can research more if you’re interested) The Crimean annexation started much the same way that this current conflict started. Putin announced the invasion of Crimea. After taking over the Crimean government, they held a referendum to decide if Crimea would become “independent” or stay with Ukraine. The Ukrainian government obviously objected. The referendum passed with an 83 percent voter turnout. (I don’t believe that for a second) The newly minted Crimea Republic was recognized by Putin then swiftly declared a Russian controlled federal state. The rest of the story involves a treaty and controversy galore.

This will conclude the history portion which is necessary to at least understand some of. Now for the fireworks of this post: Geopolitics.

The Geopolitical Nature of the Conflict in Ukraine

I think in order to achieve the proper understanding of the Geopolitics, we should lay out the extreme options. These options are usually circulated on social media for fear mongering purposes. Typically in Geopolitics, and in Game Theory there are some baseline assumptions made about the players. One of those assumptions is that actors (Actors are the parties involved, could be countries, groups, individuals) are rational. There are also other technical terms like one-sum and zero-sum game. We don’t need to go that far, for the sake of simplicity, I’ll stick to layman words.

The extreme situations that could play out in the Ukraine/Russian conflict are zero-sum (meaning ends badly or lose-lose). The first and most popular is a nuclear war. The Russians have an estimated 4,448 nuclear weapons. Meanwhile in NATO, the members have 7,500 total spread across three countries. The United States holds the most. In terms of strike capabilities, only first strike matters but in a lengthy nuclear war, the US would come out on top in a numbers game. This option would kill everyone or nearly everyone on the planet. Earth may become uninhabitable. I sincerely doubt that PM Vladimir Putin would push hard enough to make this reality.

The second option would be unlikely to occur and would be proceeded by nuclear war. This extreme option would be all-out NATO alliance boots on the ground war of attrition against the Russia and its allies. On social media, this is the World War 3 option. Fortunately, nuclear weapons make it outdated and a waste of time. Putin would be irrational to risk millions of deaths for what amounts to a buffer state.

With these options clearly being irrational and out of context for what’s really happening, now we can look at why Putin chose to invade. All of the history and elements come together. Given the history of NATO being anti-Russian, along with the fact that Russia formerly ruled the Ukraine. Putin sees the need, much like in 2014 Crimea, to protect his borders from NATO influence. Not only that, Russia also its own sphere of influence. (Sphere of Influence: It’s the sum of a country’s soft and hard power and the way it can influence or change the behavior of other countries, often surrounding countries.) The state of Russia is a much weaker power than it was during the Cold War. You have to keep this mind when you see Putin making foreign policy moves.

The invasion of Ukraine is very similar to the one that occurred in 2014 in Crimea. I believe that Putin intends to do three things with this “special military operation” (Putin’s words):

1. Neutralize and Exile the current Ukrainian government
2. Hold a vote, (rigged) to see if the pro-Russia parts want to join Russia
3. Install a Puppet Leader and Annex Donetsk and Luanhsk.

(List is my words)

Map of Ukraine showing its regions

These are very similar events to the 2014 Crimea annex. They also unsurprisingly do require some force. The Ukrainian government objected to the Crimea annex. You might be wondering why Putin would use 170,000 to 190,000 troops to annex a small pro-Russian part of Ukraine? Well, now we come back to NATO. Since the end of the Cold War, Russia lost some of its buffer states from the powerful German war machine. Now a days, Germany has been mostly neutered and its NATO that is a thorn in Putin’s side. NATO keeps trying and fortunately for Putin failing to make NATO countries along the Russian border. I believe without NATO’s meddling, Putin might have been able to use a little soft power to make Ukraine hand over those pro-Russian areas and act as a buffer from the west.

The nature of geopolitics is that one group or event can influence a whole bunch of things. The existence of NATO has forced Putin’s hand. Also Putin is rational (I believe) and he knows that it’s suicide to push too far. Putin has leverage even with sanctions coming in all directions. Russia is the European Union’s biggest supplier of oil. This means that any sanctions on oil or if Putin decides to cut off Europe that could mean serious consequences. Sanctions are an example of negative soft power. (Soft power is economic, social or cultural interactions as opposed to hard power which is military force or sanctions)

Conclusion

To sum up what I’ve just explained, is very simply that the Russian invasion of Ukraine is a defensive act against NATO. Putin understands he’s riding a fine line before pushing into the extreme options. I also believe Putin will annex the pro-Russia areas based on my experience in the nature of international relations and the history concerning the annexation of Crimea in 2014. I also think Putin wants Ukraine to be a buffer state against NATO. Although should the buffer state fail, he will at the very least need to annex those pro Russian areas of Donetsk and Luhansk to gain anything positive. He considered the sanctions that would come and the costs associated with war and it made sense for that added security. I believe that Putin is acting out of weakness and might turn to more a heavy handed strategy if Ukraine can re-buff him.

We shall see how it plays but keep an eye on how the events line up with the 2014 invasion and consequent annexation of Crimea. I hope you enjoyed and maybe learned something from this post. Thank you for reading!

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Shadow Deep State; How your Government is a Puppet State

As I promised in my first post of the year, I am back to writing. My inspiration comes from an article I read as it usually does. I think this article puts together everything I’ve been thinking is happening. You might be aware of what this is about if you read the title. Here is the article, its very long, read the whole thing. I’m not going to discuss all of it. Let me be clear, that this article isn’t the end all be all. Its a fairly comprehensive summary of evidence that there is a shadow deep state. There is a few important points that I want to give my opinions on. Here’s a short list:

1. WEF training future Prime Ministers/ World Leaders
2. Pandemic’s role/ Bill Gates Foundation
3. Technocracy/ Central Banks

I believe that once you understand that behind curtain there are a bunch of evil, beyond wealthy, bad actors who are pulling the strings then you see who the real enemy is. Yes I was once a naive conservative to libertarian to now anarchist finally seeing the world clearly. It honestly doesn’t take much research to confirm that all of this lines up. So keep an open mind. This is mission critical.

WEF training future Prime Ministers/ World Leaders

The World Economic Forum is an organization run by one of the shadow deep state actors, Klaus Schwab. This evil organization openly admits their goals of a new world order. They aren’t hiding nothing. In the article, they quote Schwab basically bragging about all the leaders they have trained.

“Mrs Merkel, even Vladimir Putin, and so on, they have all been Young Global Leaders of the World Economic Forum. But what we are really proud of now with the young generation like Prime Minister Trudeau, President of Argentina and so on, is that we penetrate the cabinets. So yesterday I was at a reception for Prime Minister Trudeau and I know that half of this cabinet, or even more than half of this cabinet, are for our… actually Young Global Leaders of the World Economic Forum.”

Klaus Schwab, Harvard Seminar 2017

Although the Putin claim is disputed, it still stands that an majority of world leaders have been indoctrinated and influenced by the shadow deep state. One of the other pieces of this, which is talked about later on in the article, is that think-tanks often say they are mostly reactive. But in reality, the think-tanks that provide policy opinions are actually used. This comes into play when we talk about the role of the pandemic.

Another piece of many world leaders being WEF trained is the fabrication of different crisises and scandals that make it look like they might be real tensions. However, the reality is that all these leaders understand the plan. They are all in on the Great Reset and Build Back Better. If you look at how Trudeau is handling the trucker convoy in Canada with the passage of Emergency Powers. These powers expand his ability to control bank activity and spy on citizens. It small steps like this that help reinforce the bigger strategy, a movement toward a technocracy new world order.

You are probably well aware of the Russia/Ukraine conflict. Well just remember many of the NATO allied countries have leaders trained in WEF. Putin was trained by WEF as well. Is this tension/conflict real? What’s really at stake here? I’m sure there is some ulterior motive here, especially with sanctions. The gas pipeline to Germany being shut down. A lot of these so called tensions or conflicts are manufactured as a distraction, the article goes over this at the end. It cites a lot of the trade war under Trump with China.

To wrap up this section, the training by the WEF dissolves any real disagreement by world leaders. It ensures that the deep shadow state keeps the actual nation-states in line. These world leaders have bought into the program. The scary part is yet to come.

Pandemic’s Role/ Bill Gates Foundation

The pandemic of 2020 always felt very strange. It came about in weird circumstances and in a random way. But the handling of it by governments around the world was even more strange. The article does a good job of explaining this. But when I read it, I found two things to be very alarming. The first was that a UK politician basically admitted that its COVID policy was following the same written policy put out by the Bill Gates Foundation.

Let that sink in. Bill Gates Foundation is a NGO/ non-profit run by its namesake. They aren’t elected or vetted. The UK, a modern constitutional republic just decided to use a think-tank version of a healthcare plan. As far as I know Bill Gates didn’t make money in healthcare, not a doctor or a nurse. The UK has its own healthcare branch the NHS which one would think has actual doctors in it. Its beyond belief that the UK would even trust this plan. Its all complicit and feeds into the goal of a new world order.

Its not too hard to think that most world leaders took a page from the Bill Gates Foundation or similar deep shadow state actors. It does explain why most of the COVID policies make zero sense medically and are geared toward obedience and conformation.

Technocracy/ Central Banks

I went pretty vague with my topic title here. The article devotes a good chunk to the technocracy. Technocracy is an important element in the new world order. Technocracy is basically the ruling enforcement. The shadow deep state is going throw out the old ways of democracy, freedom of speech, inalienable rights and all the like. Instead, they will use social credit, central planning, and central banking. The Technocracy method of ruling is best exemplified in China where the majority of Chinese are under some kind of technocratic economic/social credit system.

The technocracy system is being implemented world wide. As I mentioned earlier in Canada, Trudeau passed those Emergency powers which granted him the ability to freeze bank accounts. This is a step towards that technocracy. Its pretty well known this the goal of the Bill Gates Foundation as well. The article mentions the introduction and more recently receding vaccine passports. The vaccine passport is merely a stepping-stone for a much broader and wider social credit system.

The other very important element which goes beyond the Trudeau Emergency powers is the Central Bank cryptocurrency. You might have heard about this, banks like Chase or Bank of America developing their own crypto coins. This is no coincidence. Sure, the rise of Bitcoin and other shitcoins has somewhat fueled it. But the real reason behind bank backed crypto coins is ultimately for the ability for banks to own the money fully. In other words, you might be able to hold the crypto in a bank approved wallet or account. However, your ability to use that crypto will be based upon your social credit score.

This might be a controversial opinion but I think the shadow deep state is studying how Bitcoin and other cryptos work. They are probably sharing that information with central banks like the Federal Reserve and EU. The behaviors exhibited by Bitcoin is informing them how to create a trackable, controlled crypto coin. I have long been wondering why governments around the world haven’t been more strict on bitcoin. (exception to the rule is China who banned it)

Conclusion

My conclusion is fairly simple, we need to suss out those shadow deep state actors and make sure they remain powerless. Remember government is a puppet for those shadow deep state actors. Also just quick rider point, the article mentions a lot about the role of corporations. I think the point with corporations is that they are just as complicit because if they follow the plan, they make a huge profit. If they resist they are bankrupted. Everything you think you know about the world political scene is probably a lie. The question that is burning in my mind is how do we stop this from happening? What is the solution? I think overthrow of governments around the world is necessary but we might need to go further. If you want more related reading, I’d suggest my previous post about the Neoliberal System which kind of scratches the surface of this shadow deep state.

Thanks for reading!

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