Free Agent Spotlight: Brandon Nimmo 

Brandon Nimmo, currently of the New York Mets, was a free agent for the first time. In an unfortunate circumstance, it happens to be the same free agency year as Aaron Judge. As you probably know Judge is the premier free agent of any position not just in centerfield. This means Judge will inevitably set the market unless NImmo signs back with the Mets or another team quickly before Judge. Of course, one advantage for Nimmo is that teams that miss out or maybe can’t afford the 300+ million dollar contract Judge will command, will be able to sign Nimmo for relatively cheaper. If you consider 100 million- 150 million to be cheap. (haha) 

As a Mets fan, I’m a little biased but also watching him play everyday and his ability as a leadoff hitter is impressive. The other impressive thing that really became clear this season was Nimmo’s ability to field his position. He made a number of excellent catches which before 2021 was not the case. Nimmo bats left and throws right. He’s 29 years old with 7 years of MLB experience. Nimmo does not exclusively play centerfield because he has played the two corner outfield spots. Nimmo is a true leadoff contact/speed guy. He can work at bats, often getting to a full count (3-2). You’ll see this reflect in his numbers, high on base percent, high batting averages, low HR and Slugging. Here are his stats: 

You’ll notice he didn’t have his best season in 2022. But it is notable he hit the second most homeruns and the most doubles and triples of his career.   He also accumulated the most RBI of his career and played in the most games ever in his career. Nimmo has had problems staying healthy but seems to have figured it out this season. If your team is interested in Nimmo, you’re probably wondering what does he hit? The answer is pretty much everything. 

Now let us focus on Nimmo’s defense which has been a problem in the past. It seems like the past two seasons, Nimmo has become a sufficient defensive center fielder. He committed no errors and had a fielding percentage of 100.  In 2021, Nimmo only committed one error with a fielding percentage of 99.5.  This compares to the first five years of his career where he committed 6 errors and struggled. The best illustration of this is a chart of his jump ratings according to baseball savant, you can see the improvement.

I think to end off, I’ll put Nimmo’s baseball savant/ statcast sliders. But before that, I believe that any team that signs Nimmo won’t regret it at the right price. Although he is prone to slumps and usually you can tell because he will fail to make it a full count or get a walk. His lower power numbers and historically poor defense will put him a bit lower in salary to Judge. I would predict Nimmo to get around 4-6 years for around 100 million to 150 million dollars. Also keep in mind, the Mets did extend the qualifying offer. The QO is worth 21 million for one year and if Nimmo signs with another team, the Mets receive a compensatory draft pick. I believe Nimmo will decline the QO and sign a multiyear deal, hopefully with the Mets. 

Update: Nimmo signed a 8 year 162 million dollar deal with the New York Mets.

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Thanks to Baseball Reference and Baseball Savant for the statistics.

Texas Rangers: Hot Hitters In a Cold Season

The Texas Rangers made a big splash in free agency. They signed Marcus Semien and Corey Seager among others. Combined these two infielders yielded contracts worth nearly 500 million dollars. The Rangers weren’t expected and haven’t put together the best season this year. They finished in 4th place in the AL West. In this particular post I want to examine the two big time free agent signings in Semien and Seager. I also want to look at Nathaniel Lowe, who’s having a career season. It should be noted part of the reason for the Rangers poor season is a lack of good pitching, 12th in ERA in the AL.
Marcus Semien is a primarily second baseman who throws and bats right. He was drafted by the Chicago White Sox from the University of California (Berkeley). Semien has 10 years in the MLB. The past 3 of 4 years have seen him put up career high numbers. (Except the COVID season in 2020) So it doesn’t come as a surprise that this year, Semien has performed fairly well although still not matching his 2021. To preface his 2022 stats, he’s 4th in OPS+ in the Rangers lineup. Here is his line: (As of October 1st)

2022: 156 G, 26 HR, 82 RBI, 24 SB, 7 CS, 52 BB, 115 SO, .253 BA, .309 OBP, .440 SLG, .749 OPS, 111 OPS+

Consider that his batting ratios are: 3.7 HR%, 16.4 SO%, 7.4 BB%
His career batting ratios are favorable: 3.7 HR%, 19.7 SO%, 8.8 BB%

The main differences between Semien’s 2022 and 2021 are his power numbers, he hit 45 HRs with 102 RBI. HIs slugging and OPS were .538 and .873. His OPS+ was 131. The home run and RBI totals were career highs. Overall Semien has remained dangerous in the Rangers lineup. He’s hit for less power so his strikeouts have come down by about 4 percent. All good news.

Corey Seager is a shortstop who bats left and throws right. He was drafted by the Los Angeles Dodgers. Seager has 8 years of experience. Seager already has a laundry list of awards from his time with the Dodgers such as WS MVP, NLCS MVP, Rookie of the Year. This year wasn’t Seager’s best season by any stretch but it’s still respectable and the Rangers will hope he returns to form in the coming 10 years. (his contract length) Here are his stats: (As of October 1st)

2022: 148 G, 32 HR, 81 RBI, 58 BB, 103 SO, .245 BA, .318 OBP, .453 SLG, .772 OPS, 118 OPS+

We know that Seager is capable of more, but he’s contributed enough to be 2nd in OPS+ on the Rangers team. Despite hitting more doubles and homer runs than last season his OPS+ is 24 points lower. I suspect the Rangers Stadium (Globe LIfe Park) is the cause because it’s not favorable to hitters.

The leader of hitting for your Texas Rangers is Nathaniel Lowe. Lowe plays first base while batting left and throwing right. Lowe was drafted by the Tampa Bay Rays. He debuted in 2019 with those Rays. Lowe has been very impressive this season putting up career highs. Here are his stats as of October 1st:

2022: 152 G, 27 HR, 76 RBI, 44 BB, 142 SO, .302 BA, .355 OBP, .497 SLG, .852 OPS , 140 OPS+

It’s clear that Lowe found something this year in only his second full time season. It’s notable that he reduced his strikeout total from 2021 of 162 to 142. His walk rate actually decreased, but his batting average, slugging and OPS has skyrocketed. It’s probably due to the increased number of hits from 147 to 175 from last season to this season. I think it’s a bit of a surprise that Lowe would be leading hitting for the Rangers especially with Seager and Semien but also Adolis Garcia who has his own moments. We’ll see if Lowe can continue to build on his progress next season.

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Thanks to Baseball Reference and Baseball Savant for the statistics.

Free Agent Spotlight: Carlos Rodon

One of the premier free agent pitchers available on this year’s market is Carlos Rodon. It wouldn’t be surprising if Rodon goes slightly under the radar with other free agent pitchers like Jacob Degrom and ageless wonder Justin Verlander. Rodon is a certified number 1 in the rotation starting pitcher. He pitched for the Chicago White Sox for 7 years. In those 7 years, he racked up some impressive stats:

Most notably look at his average 110 ERA+, his 710 strikeouts and career 3.79 ERA. Of course, this would be ignoring his percentages, only giving up an average of 8 hits per 9 innings, 1.1 HR per 9 and only 3.6 walks per 9. All very impressive. Rodon did hit free agency last season and ended up on a two year prove it deal with the San Fransciso Giants. He had a player opt out after the 2022 season, which he used. Let’s say that Rodon did not disappoint. Here are his stats for 2022 with those Giants: 

You will notice his bold numbers which indicate a league lead in those categories. In terms of FIP which means fielding independent pitching, the Giants had a decent defense with only 100 errors, good enough for 12th in NL. FIP usually indicates how well a pitcher prevents HR, BB, hit by pitch and of course causes strikeouts. Defense is a small part but a bigger part and the reason why Rodon will be highly sought after is his strikeouts. He racked up 237 SO in 178 IP. HIs 12 SO/9 is a league leading number. The reason for his strikeout totals being so high, is spin rate. But more accurately its spin rate, movement and command. 

Usually it’s bad for a starting pitcher to only have one or two really good pitches. Rodon is probably the exception to this rule. Technically, Rodon has four pitches: Fastball, Curveball, Changeup and Slider. Rodon threw his fastball 1,826 times this season. He threw his other pitches a grand total of 1,159. However, here’s the thing: Rodon’s fastball is a level above everyone else. Just check out some of these stat cast charts and graphs: 

As you can tell, his four seam fastball is twice as effective as his next best pitch in run value. But if you look closer, you can tell that Rodon uses his Fastball and Slider in combination to get hitters to swing and miss. But you might be wondering just how good is Rodon’s spin, movement and command really?

It’s not hard to think with the success of Rodon’s fastball and slider, and his consistent numbers year in and year out, that he won’t get a huge contract. I would imagine he’d ask for 4-6 years with an average annual value around 30-35 million dollars. He made 22 million with the Giants. Of course with two or three other number 1 starting pitchers available, he might have to bide his time for the right contract. 

Update: Wrote this before Rodon signed a 6 year 162 million dollar deal with the New York Yankees. I expected Rodon to be closer to 200 or 250 million for more years. However, I think the Yankees got a really deal.

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Thanks to Baseball Reference and Baseball Savant for the statistics and charts!

Carlos Correa: The Product

The villain of baseball since the 2017 Houston Astros cheating scandal has been Carlos Correa. Correa is a Puerto Rican born, 28 year old shortstop with 8 years of MLB experience. Most famous for his role in the cheating scandal. But he’s also known for his free agency decision which came unexpectedly late and to a surprise team in the Minnesota Twins. His contract with the Twins is a 3 year deal, structured with player options after each year. Each year being worth 35 million dollars. This unique contract has allowed Correa to either stay with the Twins or pursue free agency for a second time. Correa has a laundry list of awards including Rookie of the year, 2x All star, Gold and Platinum Gloves. He is one of the premier shortstops in baseball. 

The reason why I’m even writing about Correa is not because his stats are impressive but rather to see how they stack up after his most recent quote to the media. It should be noted that the Minnesota Twins have failed to make the playoffs coming third in the AL central. But when you look at Correa’s stats it’s clear he wasn’t the reason why. (Hint: its their pitching staff) First let’s take a look at this quote: 

“When I go to the mall, and I go to the Dior store and I want something, I get it,” “I ask how much it costs, and I buy it. So, if you really want something, you just go get it. I’m the product here, and if they want my product, they just have got to come get it.”

What this quote tells me is that Correa is confident that other teams will offer him enough to opt out with the Twins. I think he probably knows his numbers are good enough. But what do the statistics really say about Correa? Is he the Product? 

Let’s start with the basics: 

2022: 22 HR, 63 RBI, 60 BB, 118 SO, .287 BA, .363 OBP, .467 SLG, .830 OPS, 138 OPS+

All of his numbers are very similar, just a few points lower in SLG, OPS, OBP and HR than in 2021. But if you look at his f-WAR it’s 4.4. His b-WAR is 5.4. (f-WAR is Fangraph WAR and b-WAR is baseball reference WAR) His f-WAR last year? 6.2. The biggest difference was his defensive WAR went down from 14.8 to 2.1 in 2022. He’s just been less effective at defense because only 9 errors compared to 11 in 2021. 

In comparison to other shortstops in the league he still ranks in the bottom of the top 10 for WAR with about 7-8 shortstops ahead. I think Correa numbers do justify him getting a big deal. I also think the Minnesota Twins failed to put together the right team around him. In fairness, Correa has the highest OPS+ on his team. The next best OPS+ is 135 by Byron Buxton. Buxton is currently hurt but did sign an extension with the Twins for 7 years 100 million dollars as a Center Fielder. I think Correa’s comments are probably unnecessary but if he’s willing to opt out and take a new huge contract, no team would be sorry to have him.

Update: I wrote this before he signed and Correa has signed with the San Francisco Giants. He signed a 13 year 350 million dollar deal. A record for a shortstop. Correa failed his physical, and is a free agent again.

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Thanks to Baseball Reference and Baseball Savant for the statistics.

Free Agency Spotlight: Xander Bogaerts

Xander Bogaerts is a free agent shortstop formerly of the Boston Red Sox. Bogaerts has opted out of his 6 year 120 million dollar contract. He had a 3  year 50 million dollar play option. The Red Sox then gave him a qualifying offer. (As of now he hasn’t accepted and probably won’t) Bogaerts would recieve a 1 year 19.65 million dollar contract from the Red Sox. However, if another team decides to sign him, they would owe the Red Sox a compensation pick which you can read the rules here. (https://www.mlb.com/glossary/transactions/qualifying-offer) All of this is cool but who wants to sign Xander Bogaerts and why? 

Well long story short, Bogaerts is one of the best shortstop/ third baseman on the market, save for Carlos Correa. Bogaerts has 10 years of MLB experience all with the Red Sox. He throws and bats right. Bogaerts is 30 years old. When you look at Bogaerts statistics, it doesn’t necessarily jump off the page how good this guy is. Even looking at his baseball savant sliders there isn’t a ton of red. (Red is better). Let’s start with his hitting over the course of his career. The 2022 season will be highlighted. 2022 was not Bogaerts best season, the 2019 season still stands as his best. Here are the stats: 

Notably you can see that 2022 was better in some ways than the past few seasons except 2019 and 2018. Of course, in 2018/19 there were juiced balls. But overall Bogaerts isn’t a big power guy, he does more contact and on base things. When Bogaerts is at his best he can draw walks and get on base. In 2019, the inflated OPS, OBP, BA and SLG are due to his 33 HR which is 10 more than any year in his career. To get an idea of what Bogaerts likes to hit and where his weakness might be, we can look at the baseball savant statcast breakdown by types of pitch: 

There’s a lot of information in this chart, but focus on his slider and curveball numbers. Bogaerts crushes these offspeed with a combined run value of 16 which is more than half of his total run value. The run value of the other 5 pitches is 11 combined. When you dig deeper, you can see that Bogaerts is very much a hit or miss type of hitter. For example, take his sinker hitting, he has a 11.5 Whiff%, 13.5 K% along with a 20 percent put away %. Meanwhile he’s got an xBA of .297 with a 42.9 hard hit percentage. In other words when Bogaerts gets a hold of a pitch, he rocks it. Keep in mind Bogaerts averages 126 strikeouts per season. Now let’s turn to defense. 

Xander has 107 errors over the course of his career and a fielding percentage of .977. These are actually pretty good stats only averaging about 10-12 errors per season. Bogaerts is fairly versatile because he plays shortstop and has played third for 2 seasons. Let’s us look at his Outs Above Average, the most trusted defensive stat from baseball savant: 

Negative OAA is less than average. Outs Above Average usually is a good indicator outside of errors and fielding percentage. In case you are  old school, his Total Zone Runs was league (AL) leading 14. Now let’s talk overall and what prospects Bogaerts has for getting a big contract. Given his 131 OPS+, .377 OBP and 307 BA from this past season alongside his fairly solid defense, will give Bogaerts a lot of leverage. I would expect him to sign a deal anywhere from 4 to 7 years for probably around 25 million to 30 million per year. His contract option that he turned down was 20 million per year for 3 years. So don’t be surprised when signs a 5 year contract for 25 million per year. Of course, his main competition is Carlos Correa who got 3 years, 35 million per year with two opt outs. I don’t expect Bogaerts to get quite as much because Correa is just a better overall player.  Just for Fun: 

Update: Xander Bogaerts has signed an 11 year, 280 million dollar contract with the San Diego Padres. As you can tell I wrote this awhile ago and predicted 4-7 years with 25 to 30 million per. I nailed the 25 million per year but I failed to realize it was decade long contract season. I always figured Carlos Correa would go first to set the market but after the Padres failed on Trea Turner and Aaron Judge, it makes sense they got someone.

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Thanks to baseball reference and baseball savant for the statistics and charts.

Cody Bellinger: Non-Tender Free Agent

In an unfortunate turn of events, former MVP, Rookie of the Year, Gold Glove, Silver slugger, World Series Champion and 2x All-star Cody Bellinger has been non-tendered by the Los Angeles Dodgers. You might remember Cody Bellinger as a young superstar outfielder for the Dodgers who could hit and play the field better than most. After sustaining an injury in 2021 which saw him miss 67 games, Bellinger just never found his swag that he had the past four years in the MLB. The Dodgers made a business decision as sensible as any because Bellinger would have gotten around 19 million in arbitration. He was eligible to be a free agent in 2024. The problem with giving Bellinger his 3rd year arbitration deal was that his numbers haven’t lived up to that amount of money. The Dodgers could re-sign Bellinger for cheaper, however Bellinger’s agent Scott Boras doesn’t like the Dodgers, a minor handicap. 

In order to figure out why the Dodgers would do this and what team would want to take a chance on Bellinger, we need to dive into the numbers. When you look at the first four seasons of Bellinger’s career you see why he won that laundry list of accomplishments. But then his injuries in 2021, including trouble with his hamstring, and a rib injury really affected his play. Unfortunately in 2022, Bellinger wasn’t to return to form but did play more games. Take a look for yourself: 

If you ignore 2020, the shortened season, then look at 2021 and 2022 compared to his 162 game average at the bottom, it’s clear that he struggled. His numbers are down across the board. Its really weird because from his rookie year to year 3 he really was unstoppable. I think one more statistical evaluation is necessary before we determine his value. Let’s take his run value on pitches from this season in 2022 to his last good season in 2019. 

As you can tell bythhe amount of blue (bad)  vs. the amount of red (good) that 2019 was a much better season. Bellinger was always prone to strikeouts  with 108 in 2019 and 150 in 2022. Weirdly enough Bellinger struck out more in 2018 with 151. All of these numbers in the run value charts tell us some of the story. Bellinger seems to have lost plate discipline. A good representation of his lost plate discipline are these zone charts by baseball savant. I selected misses, batted balls, barrels and barrel percentage. 

If you look closely, you can see the amount of barrels isn’t higher than 5 in any zone. Also his batted balls tend to be in just one place middle of the zone and to the bottom left outside the zone. The misses seem to be numerous outside the zone. This means that Bellinger is chasing which means strikeouts. One last chart before we talk value, the K% and Whiff % by zone. In this case, the red zone means Bellinger strikes out or whiffs often in that zone. The amount of red zones is concerning especially for a guy who won an MVP. 

I usually don’t like to be negative but Bellinger has not played well in a few seasons. He needs to figure out how to lower the strikeout totals. Maybe he’s not seeing the ball well or his swing is off. If Bellinger can return to a .250 BA, .330 OBP, .500 SLG, and .800 OPS, he could get that big contract he probably wants. But first, he’ll need to sign a one or two year prove it deal. I would imagine he could be had for 1 year 15 million dollars or possibly 2 years 30 million dollars. I wouldn’t expect a long term deal yet. I hope Bellinger figures it out because he can be a special player. 

Update: Bellinger has signed a deal with the Chicago Cubs for 1 year 17.5 million dollars. I wrote this before he signed when he was first non-tendered. Obviously my prediction was nearly spot on, only 2.5 million off. haha

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Thanks to Baseball Reference and Baseball Savant for the statistics and charts.

Free Agency: Jacob DeGrom To the Texas Rangers

This news was expected but shocking. In full disclosure, I am a big New York Mets fan. I had heard all the rumors some more terrifying than others. The nightmare of DeGrom going to a division rival like the Atlanta Braves or across town to the Yankees or even to a super team like the Dodgers. Of course, early on even before free agency it was rumored the Texas Rangers were in on DeGrom. Unfortunately the news broke that Jacob DeGrom signed with the Texas Rangers on December 2nd at around 8:30pm.

He signed a 5 year 185 million dollar deal with a sixth year option bringing the total value to 222 million dollars. DeGrom has been dealing with a few injuries the past few years. So I was surprised to see him get 5 years. The AAV or money per season is about right for a starting pitcher of caliber, at about 37 million per season. What does it mean for the teams involved?

Well, for the Texas Rangers it obviously helps their starting pitcher rotation which really lacks depth past Martin Perez and Jon Gray. If DeGrom can stay healthy and make 30 starts then that’s certainly the best case scenario. The Rangers were 68-94. The consensus is they are still a few years away from really contending despite the signings of Corey Seager and Marcus Semien. The 5 year deal makes sense from this perspective. I think the risk is that DeGrom either gets hurt again or he isn’t himself similar to the end of this past season.

In the case of the New York Mets, there isn’t a way to replace the best starting pitcher in the world. His 43.8 career WAR is just one example of how great he is. According to sources, the Mets never got their final offer in. Also they weren’t eager to offer more 2 or 3 years. I honestly think in the long run it works out better. The New York Mets responded by signing a top tier starting pitcher free agent Justin Verlander as an immediate answer to losing DeGrom. Verlander accepted a 2 year 86 million dollar deal with a third year option. Be sure to check out Justin Verlander’s free agency profile posted after this on Saturday (December 10th).

All of this without looking at some impressive statistics is just lame. Not much analysis to be had because DeGrom is truly a generational talent. Just realize he’s a hall of famer and there may not be another Jacob DeGrom.

Career stats:

All the red you see in these charts is a good thing. DeGrom is really good. Honestly to me, I’m sad to see him leave my Mets. However, it doesn’t bother me he’s in Texas now. I understand its a pure business decision, for example Texas has no state income tax and New York has a lot of taxes. I do think its a little strange for the Texas Rangers to buy a “Bugatti” while they still live in a trailer. (Like the meme) I wish DeGrom the best of luck.

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Thanks to Baseball Reference and Baseball Savant for the statistics and charts!

Detroit Tigers: Disappointing Acquistions

The Detroit Tigers had a nice offseason adding both Javier Baez and Eduardo Rodriguez. The Tigers have had their share of injuries like other teams but overall their whole team carries an OPS+ under 100. They even had a few young talents come up, the best player being Riley Greene thus far. The roster is stacked with young developing talent and wily veterans like Javi and Eduardo. It’s notable that future Hall of Famer Miguel Cabera is still playing and got his 3,000th hit earlier this year. Other than that the Tigers failed to even surpass their 2021 record of 77-85.

Javier Baez is a utility infielder who can play shortstop, second base and third base. The Puerto Rican born Baez throws right and bats right. He’s 29 years old with 6 years of MLB experience. Javier came up with the Chicago Cubs and helped them win their first World Series (2016) since 1908. Last year Baez was traded at the deadline by the Cubs to the New York Mets along with his teammate Trevor Williams for Pete Crow-Armstrong. Baez ended up being rental as the Mets chose not to bring him back for this current 2022 season. As a Free agent, Javier Baez signed a 6 year 140 million dollar deal with the Detriot Tigers. As a Tiger, Baez’ production has dropped off significantly. Here’s a comparison of his 2021 stats and his 2022 stats:

2021: 31 HR, 87 RBI, 18 SB, 184 SO, .265 BA, .319 OBP, .494 SLG, .813 OPS, 116 OPS+

2022: 15 HR, 61 RBI, 9 SB, 141 SO, .241 BA, .281 OBP, .394 SLG, .674 OPS, 93 OPS+

In the counting stats, Baez has about half as many homers, RBI and stolen bases. In his averages he’s down around 100 points across the board. The biggest drop being OPS. Obviously his drop in homers has a direct correlation to his OPS. It’s even worse when you consider that with the Mets, he had .886 OPS and a .515 SLG in 50 games. His fielding has also been considerably worse, committing a career high 26 errors. Tigers need Javi to step up his game if he’s to live up to his 140 million dollar contract. 

Once a mid-level starting pitcher for the World Champion Boston Sox, Eduardo Rodriguez hit free agency in 2021. Rodriguez landed with the Detriot Tigers signing a 5 year, 77 million dollar contract. Rodriguez is a Venezuela born left handed thrower and is 29 years old. Unlike Javier Baez, Rodriguez, also known as E-Rod, was just slightly worse than his career average 4.18 ERA. In fact his Tigers ERA is lower than it was with the Red Sox last year. Let’s compare his numbers:

2021: 13-8 W-L, 4.74 ERA, 31 GS, 157.2 IP, 47 BB, 185 SO, 99 ERA +, 3.32 FIP, 1.389 WHIP, 9.8 H9, 1.1 HR9, 2.7 BB9, 10.6 SO9.

2022: 4-5 W-L, 4.37 ERA, 15 GS, 78.1 IP, 29 BB, 62 SO, 88 ERA+, 4.34 FIP, 1.340 WHIP, 8.7 H9, 1.1 HR9, 3.3 BB9, 7.1 SO9.

E-Rod hasn’t pitch quite as well as he did last season. The notable increase in walks per 9 at 0.6 nearly a full walk per game. His strikeouts per 9 also decreased by nearly 3 per game. It’s clear that his defense didn’t help with his FIP increasing by 1.02. (Tigers 12th in AL for Errors)

My point is that both Javier Baez and Eduardo Rodriguez haven’t performed to their expectations. This isn’t unusual for players to underperform after signing a big contract. But this also means the Tigers will have a tricky financial situation if it continues going forward unless they step it up.

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Thanks to Baseball Reference and Baseball Savant for the statistics.

Part 2: Presidential Exploitation and Manipulation of Constitution

If you haven’t read Part 1 of this series, I really recommend that you do that before reading this.

We are going to pick up where we left on Part 1 by continuing to go over four more presidents who exemplify the exploitation and manipulation of the Constitution. I am still debating on doing a Supreme Court part because of the research likely required, it might be on hold due to time constraints. (My work schedule consists of 70 hour weeks) Anyway without further due, I think that these four presidents really will bring home the point of the series. We’ll look at them in chronological order starting with Lyndon B. Johnson, Ronald Reagan, George W. Bush, and Barack H. Obama.

Lyndon B. Johnson (Referred to as LBJ for short)

LBJ is a unique president, he took over after JFK’s assassination. He was most well known for his role as senate whip, his ability to coax legislation through Congress was unmatched. He came into office during troubling times in American history, the ramp up of the Vietnam war and economic trouble at home. These circumstances allowed LBJ some angles both new and old. One of Johnson’s proudest accomplishments was his Great Society. A literal bundle of legislation. The Great Society was similar to the New Deal. The difference being that the Great Society took the constitution’s tenth amendment allowing for federal government to liberally regulate things not given a role in the constitution.

In order to not ramble on, lets just take one or two examples like Education and voting rights. The ESEA or Education and Secondary Education act allowed the federal government to grant loans for college. No where in the constitution does it say that federal government has a right to do this, except in interpretation of tenth amendment. The Civil Rights Act of 1965, allow blacks to vote. Once again constitution doesn’t really give guidance on voting rights with the except of a few amendments. But before 1965, Jim Crow laws kept blacks from voting.

My point here is that LBJ’s Great Society changed the role of government within the everyday life of a citizen. FDR set the foundation with the New Deal, and LBJ built the frame with Great Society. Nearly all of the Great Society is still intact today. LBJ is infamous for his ramp up of the Vietnam war. I think JFK deserves some credit here as well because he planted some 10,000 advisors in Vietnam before his death. LBJ used a false flag in the gulf of tonkin, then once in the war, took advantage of tactics that once again not within view of the constitution. I’m referring to agent orange and the draft as well. George Washington did warn about standing armies. It was obviously ignored or forgotten. Also while agent orange may not violate the constitution, I think it violates the rules of engagement. (This is a whole other topic, putting pin in it here)

Ronald Reagan

Reagan was our first movie star president. I think sometimes he treated the presidency exactly like a movie role. I honestly can’t get enough of his Star Wars weapon system that he made up to trick the Soviets. But I think Reagan did more wacky things with money and drugs. Perhaps two of the things the constitution gives no guide. As we saw with Woodrow Wilson’s creation of the Federal Reserve, Reagan invented his brand of economics called trickle-down economics where he lowered taxes for the rich and businesses in hopes to trickle down jobs and money to lower classes. (Not commenting on whether or not it works) The problem with Reagan and this isn’t so much his fault as it is Congress, but Reagan drove up the deficit by trillions, over 2 trillion dollars by the time he left office. Reagan even stole from Social Security (FDR’s insolvent monster) to pay for defense spending which he also increased dramatically. I found this interesting website about the national debt, where it shows you how much each president increased or decreased it, check it out.

George W. Bush

Dubya or Bush has to be one of the most interesting presidents in history. A surprising amount of personality. I read his biography Decision Points after his presidency, give me a lot of insight on some of his obviously tough decisions. But here I want to focus mainly two things: War and the Patriot Act. Let’s start with the sham that was the war on terror. Although Bush personally was just the face, his team around him really pushed hard for war. The neoliberal agenda subverted the constitution to get the war racket started again. There were no WMD’s in Iraq. Bush admitted in his book they got false intelligence. (In fairness, they did and it was intentional) Either way, I think the war on terror exploited the new power of president’s to make war whenever they feel like it without congress approval. Even so, Congress still approved money because their lobbyist friends made sure they got a cut. It get worse though.

The Patriot Act is arguably the worst law passed by any president. It directly violates the fourth amendment which is supposed to protect from unreasonable search and seizure. If anyone can tell me how the NSA tapping phones and reading emails of Americans is catching terrorists who hailed from Saudi Arabia then please email me or message me on Twitter. (I’m serious) The Supreme Court is a gutless institution that is infected by political partisanship, its failed to strike down this obviously unconstitutional law. Once again, I’ll circle back to neoliberals by saying government has only expanded out from the NSA into social media as well. The line between a private social media company and a government subsidized one is quite blurry. This is certainly a stain on both democracy and justice system in America.

Barack H. Obama

Thanks Obama! Obama holds a weird place for me among presidents because overall I feel like he was almost entirely ineffective. However, there one or two things that I actually thought were decent moves. We’re running out of words, so lets get right to the infamous Obamacare and of course beating a dead horse with war. Obamacare is another one of those horrendous laws that outright violates the constitution. What kind of monster makes people who can’t afford insurance pay a fine if they don’t have insurance? Its legit tyranny, imagine the founders fighting over 3 percent tax. During the Obama administration, people didn’t blink at being fined 1200 dollars for not having insurance. Unfortunately the truth is that Obama was in bed with the big pharma and insurance companies, who wrote most of that bill. The results were bad and unsurprising. (Privatizing healthcare is the only good option here)

Obama was really terrible with starting wars without any approval. Syria, Libya, and Yemen to name a few. I think that Obama is just exploiting power that had already been set up by precedents. Although, this doesn’t shift the blame because every president has the opportunity to change it. (Neoliberal system doesn’t allow it, of course) The problem is that none of them change it for the better.

Conclusion

This series isn’t a comprehensive list of every president and every manipulative, exploiting thing they have done against the constitution. But I think Part 2 makes it clear that after World War 2, trampling the constitution is an automated process, done by Presidents almost unwittingly. The point of this series is to show that the constitution is either powerless to stop or not broad to reign in the rogue acts of power hungry politicians. The bigger problem and most troubling one to me, is that as citizens we have accepted this way. The central foundation of the constitution was the people would hold the government accountable. Its gone very off track, with government ignoring all accountability.

I personally believe the constitution and democracy it upholds, has failed. The proof is here in the eight presidents. But if you were to look at all 46 presidents, you would find thousands of examples. Voting won’t fix this. We have to reform how think about governance in modern society. Perhaps if you don’t already read my blog, you should check out some of ideas. Take a scroll through.

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Presidential Exploitation and Manipulation of Constitution

I thought of this blog post idea as an offshoot of the argument for the constitution. Public indoctrination centers and popular culture have put this notion of constitution controlling government and allowing rights since the constitution was created. This post will not set out to argue that the constitution has failed to do either of things. Plus the misguided nature of “rights” is too broad for this particular topic. Rather than try to argue the constitution is an object failure, I will show you where the weaknesses are. One of the best ways to show is by using examples of Presidential overruns and exploits of the constitution.

This will be a multi-post series as I have 8 different presidents with unique situations that exploit the constitution making it a useless piece of paper. We’ll take 4 here and 4 next week. Also I have another idea where I explain how the Supreme Court has probably done the most to destroy any credibility of the constitution that was left. Lets save this idea for the future. So the four presidents, we’ll go over in chronological order are Thomas Jefferson, Abraham Lincoln, Woodrow Wilson and Franklin D. Roosevelt. You probably recognize all these names. You may even know where I’m going with some of these guys. I’m going to focus very specifically on the situation that allowed exploit of the constitution and what exactly it means for the constitution going forward.

Thomas Jefferson

Jefferson is often known sometimes mistakenly as one of the more libertarian presidents. But what isn’t often pointed out is Jefferson crafty interpretation of the constitution. Especially in regards to manifest destiny. To that end, Jefferson saw a good deal with the French for the Louisiana territory. In 1803, Jefferson made the purchase for 15 million dollars. This may seem like a harmless transaction to the average person. But if you look deeper, the constitution doesn’t explicitly allow the President to purchase land. Jefferson knew this and found a work around.

The government in the US was set up by the constitution in a checks and balances. The problem that Jefferson had was that congress holds the power over the money. Jefferson in the executive branch holds power over foreign policy. In order to get the money to make the purchase, Jefferson crafted a treaty that had to be ratified by congress. In the treaty, it contained the money for France. To recap, Jefferson exploited a loophole that allow him to make congress approve money for the purchase from France, despite there being no constitutional instruction or precedent. Jefferson’s decision was actually never questioned by the Supreme Court. In fairness to him, the actions he took never broke any constitutional decrees.

Abraham Lincoln

This next president will make Jefferson seem kind of tame in comparison. Although both men are considered to be brilliant minds among the presidents. Abraham Lincoln is probably most famous for his alleged freeing of the slaves. His presidency is dominated by the civil war. War time gives Presidents some interesting angles to manipulate power. Some of Lincoln’s lesser known, not so good actions come at the cost of the constitution. Lincoln was previously a lawyer before his time as President. I think that’s why Lincoln holds the most intricate intrusion of constitutional law.

I suppose we should just start with the egregious offense which would obvious the suspension of habeas corpus. In America, the justice system was set up under the belief that every citizen has a right to due process and a fair trial by a jury of your peers. Lincoln decided that this notion was overridden by the need to eliminate and silence his enemies and confederate spies. Habeas corpus is latin for “You shall have the body”, in a legal proceeding, its when the accused goes to the courtroom to hear what they have been charged with. To put simply, Lincoln suspended the right of knowing why you were arrested in the first place. It might seem like a small detail in the grand scheme of things, but when you realize that Lincoln targeted his political opponents and journalists, you can see the problem. Lincoln literally silenced his enemies.

Lincoln didn’t stop there with overriding constitutional rights. In order to wage the civil war, he used an act passed in 1807 called the insurrection act. You can read more about that here and here. But basically this act allowed Lincoln to send federal troops wherever necessary without the permission of a governor. You’ll be interested to know that Thomas Jefferson created this law. (Jefferson used it against Aaron Burr after he killed Hamilton in a duel) As far as I can tell, the Supreme Court has not heard a case on it. It amounts to basically a martial law act. To date, I believe that Abraham Lincoln was the only one to use to wage actual war on citizens.

The changes in the way government was run under Abraham Lincoln actually jumpstarted what see today. Lincoln’s firm squashing of political opponents and journalists really polarized the partisan nature of American politics. The way that Lincoln waged the war by contracting out the making of uniforms and guns to manufacturers was the beginning of an organized military industrial complex. The fact is that Lincoln created a lot of his power out of thin air. Just like Jefferson found crafty loopholes, Lincoln also found ways to trampled the constitution. Unfortunately it gets worse.

Woodrow Wilson

Woodrow Wilson is often considered both of the best and worst presidents depending on who you ask. His actions didn’t have such an immediate effect like Jefferson and Lincoln’s. Wilson built a few institutions that today are renegade in their following of the constitution. Both of these institutions are technically outside the purview of constitutional authority. But I believe that both also exploit the rights under the constitutional of the average citizen. If you haven’t guessed yet, its the United Nations and Federal Reserve Bank. Lets take one at a time.

The United Nations was a concept created by Wilson, first called the 14 points which he laid out in a speech. The idea was rebuffed by nearly all the major powers. Wilson’s intentions may have been good to prevent future conflicts. (World War 1 had just ended) At first, the US actually didn’t join the League of Nations which lasted until World War 2. The problem with the United Nations as it stands today is that it mimics a very weak one-world government. The UN has an army of “peacekeepers” that rarely keep any peace. Its usefulness is questionable at best. At best it provides a medium for countries to diplomatically solve their issues. At worst, it just leads to more tension and wars. One particular irony that is often overlooked by everyone is that the permanent security council positions are held by countries like China and Russia. In recent years, these two countries seem to behave in a less than model like way. Even if you ignore the “fake” election interruptions by Russia, they still invaded Crimea a few years ago. In China, the list of human rights violations just gets longer, not to mention the genocide of the Uyghurs. (highly recommend you research this, its horrifying.) The permanent members have the ability to block resolutions. So imagine the hypocritical nature of outrage over countries like Iran when two of the permanent members are guilty of similar or worse violations.

The federal reserve bank was created by Wilson in 1913. I won’t go into a full rant about how the federal reserve bank has devalued and caused more problems with economy due to the manipulation of the money. However, I will say this institution only has one connection to government. The president appoints the chair of the Fed. Otherwise, the federal reserve is completely free of any constitutional restriction. My point here is just this: What could go wrong when you give non-governmental institution the power to control money? Well just look around, you are living it. For the sake of word count, I’ll move on.

Franklin D. Roosevelt

Franklin D. Roosevelt holds the record for most terms as president. Once again, as I mentioned earlier with Lincoln that war time gives President’s interesting angles to manipulate power. FDR did exactly this, although he did serve four terms, there was no constitutional law about it. However, afterwards, congress did limit the president to only 2 terms. I think its worth mentioning even though its a closed loophole.

The other less obvious but more well known FDR actions is the New Deal. The New Deal was obviously a bundle of legislation that formed basically a stimulus in the Great Depression. While its not any specific constitutional intrusion, it does set precedents for more in the future. I think the biggest issue is not that FDR found a creative way to combat the depression but that his government funded and created it. There is also the creation of social security which now just robs people due its financial instability. I think FDR shows us that the constitution leaves quite a few gaping holes in terms of how the government can leverage its power.

This leads to my conclusion, (promise it won’t take long) These four presidents that I have pointed out specific things that either exploited loopholes or just flat out trampled constitution shows where the constitution lacks. The document was brilliantly written but the weaknesses are the same of that as Trump’s border wall. As I have shown here, any president can go around the wall (Constitution), climb over it, or bulldoze through it in the case of Lincoln. Stay tuned for part 2 where I’ll go over the other four: Lyndon B. Johnson, Ronald Reagan, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama.

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The Neoliberal System: A brief breakdown for understanding.

This is a sort of chaser to my open letter to Trump Supporters. I wanted to go into detail about what the neoliberal system is, and what it means. I didn’t give a ton of detail, only dedicated a few sentences to a thing that is complex and multifaceted. There is a famous quote by Chinese strategist Sun Tzu which perfectly describes why I think it’s necessary to do this blog post:

“If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.”

Sun Tzu on the Art of War

I think that the neoliberal system as I call it, encompasses more than just government. For years, my thinking was government is the enemy along with communists. But in the past year or two, I’ve had this realization that enemies are around every corner, in every facet of society. Strictly speaking, enemies aren’t just those that directly oppose your views, but also those that ally with those who oppose you. So you might be wondering how expansive is the neoliberal system? How many industries and organizations makes it up? Well the list is infinitly growing. But to generalized and in part create a sort of road map, it can be broken down to a few main categories:

Military Industries
– Corporations fortune 500 (outside of one’s listed below, think Coke Cola, Walmart)
– Media companies (includes social media)
– Telecommunications companies
– Financial business includes banks, stock market
– Energy firms
– Lobbies (lobbyists hold large power in DC)

*Not comprehensive, every conceivable industry or service is in play

This comprises mostly everyone involved but it does leave out a few independently wealth and influential shadow figures who use their wealth to influence actors with the system. Recently Bill Gates comes to mind but there are others who are less well known. Of the biggest contributors are the government which I didn’t put on the list because I’ve already indicated them as enemy #1. You can think of government as the glue that holds all the pieces in place. I think it will be more productive to go over the list and incorporate government’s role in that entity’s place in the neoliberal system. I definitely want to start with the most obvious place that government and other entities come together for the system. It’s actually my forte, the defense industry.

The defense industry has existed in America since before the revolution. It’s organization was strongly influenced by government actions. Although government influence isn’t truly visible until the civil war. Abraham Lincoln and his secretary of war utilized the rifle and firearm industry to mass produce rifles for the union army. They handed out contracts to companies like Colt and Remington. Now fast forward to the Cold War, Dwight D. Eisenhower gives his farewell address. In his address he warns us about the dangers of what he termed the “military industrial complex”. It’s a holtly debated history question about what Eisenhower meant. But fortunately secondary scholarship has figured it out. (Military Industrial Complex by Paul A.C Koistnen) The military industrial complex is the relationship between the government and private military based companies. Now let’s bring it forward to 1995. Dick Cheney is Secretary of Defense under President Clinton. Dick Cheney revolutionized the way that defense contracts were handed out to contractors. He eliminated most of restrictions which led to even less accountability.

During the cold war, the accountability on DoD contracts was already bad. The contractors such as Lockheed Martin and Raytheon took advantage by going far over budget. The DoD never held them responsible for overruns. Cheney made worst by giving his own company, Halliburton a big defense contract for the war on terror. Cheney also held a position at Halliburton even after he was elected Vice President. So you can imagine the collusion between private companies producing military material and government contracts. I don’t want to write all I know about the military to government revolving door. I think the point I want to make is clear that government contracts are feeding these military contractors and giving the economy a false sense of success.

Let’s take a break from the military industrial complex and look at another entity that’s less obvious. Recently the media has been called out by various pundits and politicians. But the real problem with media is that it’s comprises about 6 corporations. The media is highly monopolized thanks in part to government regulations. Not to mention that most of media is controlled by one partisan side. The FCC is the main regulator, if you remember when net neutrality was repealed a few years ago, the media obvious went on the offensive because opening up the internet to innovation because it hurts their monopoly. Government also fell in line with (I think it was) Nancy Pelosi said millions would die if net neutrality was repealed. This rhetoric is meant to protect the establishment.

In the past few years but especially since the election there has been mass censorship on social media. Social media is also part of the technocrats in silicon Valley. Social media companies also receive taxpayers money for spying and information collection. In this one brief sentence, I’d point out that private companies receiving government funds voids any private privileges they had.

The media’s role in the neoliberal system is that of spin doctor and censorship arm. Since most democratic led countries make outright censorship illegal, they pass it off to “private” corporations. I think it’s obvious but the military industrial complex role is both defense but more often its offense. Typically following narrative set by media. The oligarchs pulling strings are very careful with these operations. But once you are aware of it, the cracks become obvious.

The next few players are background ones. Lobbyists and the financial industry. For the sake of word count, and for the sake of similarity, we’re lumping these together. Lobbyists are not often talked about by media, politicians or anyone. But anyone that knows government, knows lobbying runs the world. In the early days up until nearly the turn of the 20th century, there was a rule in place about lobbying. Actually lobbying got its name because Lobbyists weren’t allowed to meet the president in the white house or capitol building. Instead Lobbyists would meet in hotel lobbys. Lobbying is big business and it’s how corporations influence government decisions on regulations, laws and oversight. I guess you could say it’s a tool of the corporate entity.

The financial industry has a reputation for being shady. Nothing says more than the 2008 bubble burst. It’s too simple to say that banks are evil, although they most certainly are. Here’s the thing, the revolving door of bank employees to SEC board positions is how the term revolving door was coined. (Pun absolutely intended) Now knowing this, it’s easy to overlook government’s role because it goes further than former bankers making regulations. The federal reserve, a corrupt institution, a central bank, supposedly separate from government control, has the ability to control banks and currency. The federal reserve saw the 2008 crisis at least 6 years prior to it happening. Nobody said anything. They let it happen. It’s a disgusting institution which as the great Ron Paul says we should “End the Fed”.

The banking industry finances the wars, makes sure that money is always available for it. The banks also make sure to keep regular people from having too much freedom. They use interest rates and inflation to devalue the fiat currency. They make sure there is plenty of public debt to keep American dollars valuable to other countries. Its all orchestrated on the behest of government. The president appoints the head of the federal reserve. So of course, politics seeps in and ruins whatever shred of independence the Fed was supposed to have from government. By now you are probably seeing a pattern, in the neoliberal system it’s government that provides the security and protection for otherwise private industries. In this way, the industries become a extending wing of government.

There are 3 industries left, Energy, Telecommunications and large corporations that are fortune 500. I’m combining these because they are secondary players. In the case of Telecommunications and energy both benefit from government monopoly. The government also has unlimited access to phone records and IP addresses. It follows the same pattern of government maintaining control through private companies.

Now the last entity covers a huge swath of industries including some already mentioned. The large, multinational corporations that often dominate the stock market and get big tax breaks from government. Their role is more subtle. The role is cultural compliance. Often times these companies will use their brand to support government based initiatives. Best examples I have are voting campaigns and covid restrictions. All large corporations benefit from the neoliberal system because it’s economic driven, it’s not free market. It’s corporatism. When we’re speaking about a corporatist economy, lobbyists are a prominent player. I also want to point out that government and business are allies. They are inextricably connected. Corporatism wouldn’t be possible without government monopoly.

I hope you’re following what I mean by the neoliberal system. This next part will conclude this post. In the context of my open letter, I blame the neoliberal system for rigging the election. The logic is that the neoliberal system needs a president to fit its mold. By in large, the system confines any president’s agenda because nearly every industry is already co-opted by political partisan influence. The military industrial complex has one of the strongest Lobbies. They have politicians on payroll just as every other industry does.

Now sometimes a president goes against the agenda. Trump seems to have upset the system especially the military industrial complex with his withdrawal of troops from war zones. The neoliberal system demands compliance by every actor in the system. If you act against it, the neoliberal system will push you out and make sure you aren’t credible or in jail. The media has the ability to demonize anyone. There is really no escape however, one can live outside the system. Yes it’s possible. I mentioned it in my open letter how agorism, bitcoin and 3D printed guns can fight the system.

To conclude, the neoliberal system is all private large corporations utilizing the monopoly of power that government holds over everyone else. The system as I describe it, operates with the military industrial complex at its heart. But it wouldn’t be effective without the other industries especially the media, technology sector, and the financial industry. Lobbying plays the important role of middle man, brokering deals to ensure the neoliberal system continues successfully. The point of writing this blog post to help rejected Trump supporters understand why they should join the liberty movement as allies. But I’d also like to extend an olive branch to anyone who will take it. We don’t need to agree on anything but the fact that system must end now.

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Keynesian Magic Trick

A few days ago, the news broke that the House of Representatives and Senate passed a bill. It was the second COVID relief bill, with first one being passed in the Spring. The bill itself was overall a terrible one. The nearly billion dollar budget goes mostly overseas to special interests. All the American people got was about 150 billion or basically 600 dollars if you qualify. But this post is not about the bill itself. Obviously the disaster caused an outrage on social media, from nearly every side. Whether you were for or against getting money or sending money overseas, there was something to hate about it. I don’t really know how I should start but I suppose I will just show you a screenshot of the tweet that gave me my inspiration. Here it is:

Ok, so there is A LOT to unpack here. The quoted tweet is not wrong. There is also nothing wrong with how poor and rich people use their money. In fact, when you hear about rich people they usually manage their money in way that the money works for them. This means investing in high risk, high reward assets. It also means finding higher interest rates on your savings. All perfectly sound things to do, make your money work for you. Now the person who did the Quote tweet above has a whole mess.

Like I just said, there is nothing wrong with saving money at a high interest rate. Its smart. Lets work backwards since the person’s last point is wrong and easy to correct. First of all, a savings account doesn’t function like your mattress or safe at home does. Savings accounts are where the bank gets it money to loan out to other people. Thats why nearly every bank saving account pays out interest. (In a lot of cases its .01 percent because of the Federal Reserve, fuck them.) My point is that putting it in a savings account doesn’t just enrich that person. On the topic of enrichment, what’s the point accepting money if not to be richer?

Alright now we go on to the first half of that tweet. The person is claiming that 600 dollars given to a poor person will have multiplier effect. You might be aware or at least vaguely by the title that “multiplier effect” is from the infamous economics John Maynard Keynes. Keynes studied economics (presumably, I don’t find him to be particularly correct on much of anything) and created a type of economics called Keynesian economics. Its not hard to understand Keynesian economics because the whole basis is on interest rates set by a central bank. Keynes somehow ignores the most important part of the economics, the part where voluntary interactions take place. If you don’t know, then you should know that the Federal Reserve and US Government both subscribe to the Keynesian economic style. (As well does the EU and EU central bank) So you might ask me why is this person wrong about the multiplier effect?

Let’s start out by explaining what Keynes meant by the multiplier effect. Its simple, its the idea that if a person or government were to spend or give an amount of money, the worth of that money would multiply as more people use it to purchase goods and services. But you see here are the two big problems: 1. Government Money 2. Taxes (theft). I think the best way to explain is by example: Let’s say the government gives 100 taxpayer paid dollars. The person who receives that pays income tax on that money so we’re down 70 (30 percent tax rate for easy maths). Then that person purchases some goods from a local shop totaling 70 dollars with sales tax. Lets says the sales tax rate is 8 percent so about 65 dollars actually spent. That local shop owner might purchase school supplies for his children with that 65 dollars. So far we’re up to 40 dollars in taxes taken out from that original 100 dollars originally from taxpayers. In the end after just 12 more transactions, the 100 dollars will completely cancelled out by taxes collected if we’re to assume the next person would spend 60 then 55 and so on. Its a very a simplistic example, yes. But my point is fairly obvious: Its a double negative, cancellation of value of the 100 dollars.

You might say but why double negative? Remember the stimulus money is coming from Government who forces you to pay taxes. So the government steals the money first, then redistributes it. Then the government double dips, stealing it once isn’t enough, they got to steal more. Whether it be income tax, sale tax, property tax or any tax. So in reality the so called “multiplier effect” should be called the government ponzi scheme effect. Its a load of crap. Now I won’t deny that many people might receive value from that stolen money but its not clean. Two wrongs don’t make a right.

You may ask but what if the multiplier effect didn’t have any government interference? In this case, I would agree that it could actually work. If a wealthy person donates money to be used by less fortunate people who didn’t get taxed, it would actually increase its value. Not only to the people using it but the money itself. I don’t think this is a hard concept to understand. The lesson here is don’t take keynesian economics as gospel. Its all bad faith number twisting.

Thank You For Supporting

This part is unrelated to the Keynesian magic trick. In this section, I want to thank all the readers over the past year. To every single visitor to this site in 2020, I want to personally thank you for reading and hopefully enjoying my blog. Its been a pleasure to write with this post, 50 posts. My blog has had its MOST SUCCESSFUL YEAR EVER. Its all thanks to the readership. We had 1,676 views, 1,258 visitors. 34 likes, and 28 comments on the day this was written, December 27th. I am hoping to do even more in 2021, my goals include simple things like changing up the look, getting a domain, possibly taking some donations, doing some kind of vocal blog posts. I absolutely love writing this blog. Right now I make zero dollars on my blog so rest assured, that I am just truly appreciative that someone wants to read my work.

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Bitcoin: How it can get even better!

I’m not a full-blown bitcoiner. I don’t own any. But I think that bitcoin has a legitimate chance to change how currency is handled in the future. (Already changing in the present) I don’t think Bitcoin is end all be all of currencies. My only two criticisms of Bitcoin are the following: lack of acceptance among many retailers and security issues. I have been thinking about investing in or more likely mining some Bitcoin. For me to go all in, I’d like see a few things happen, some of which have nothing to do with Bitcoin itself. This post will probably be shorter, but I’ve been thinking about this for awhile now. Back to my criticisms, I believe acceptance will come over time, there’s no sure way to force it. The security issues will be fixed as well especially if acceptance becomes the normal. You might be wondering what in hell I might want to happen.

Let me first explain a concept that already exists in today’s world: currency exchange. If you’ve ever traveled to a country with a different currency then you probably dealt with exchanging currency. Personally, I have exchanged Pounds, Philippine pesos and Korean Won. A currency exchange is market place where different currencies are traded against each other. Any currency can be exchanged with any other currency. But typically the currency you normally carry, if your an American that will be dollars is traded against other currencies. The value of the dollar is weighed against lets say pounds. So as of writing this, 1 US dollar is the equivalent of 0.76 Great Britain pounds. One of the benefits of currency exchange is the ability to know which currency is stronger in terms of value. There also other factors to determine how stable a currency is and whether or not its being inflated. The problem with government issued currencies is that they are almost ALWAYS being manipulated either by a government or a central bank. This leads me to my first thing that I want to happen: A few Bitcoin competitors.

If you are up on cryptocurrencies, you probably already know that there isn’t a true competition to Bitcoin. Its the best one on the market. Bitcoiners often call other cryptos “shitcoins”. Unfortunately for Bitcoin, I’m not a fanboy just a causal spectator. I would love to see a few other legitimate, life changing cryptocurrencies to challenge Bitcoin for the top spot. I think some challengers would help Bitcoin tremendously. Currency exchange is the exact reason why, some competition would benefit Bitcoin. Of course, when Bitcoin is traded for US dollars it will dole out big returns because the dollar is inflated and devalued into actual piece of paper is. The idea is that each different top cryptocurrency would offer a certain advantage that the others don’t have. I think having multiple currencies in an economy has more advantages for everyone. For the consumer, it means more purchasing power. For the business owner, it means more investment power. It could even better savings ability anybody. There could be a currency for every kind of financial tool.

I think Bitcoin would benefit greatly from competition because each cryptocurrency would have to compete in both ease of use, security, and usability. Not only that, a currency exchange among them would help potential users determine which one gives the most “bang for their buck”. Imagine being able to choose the best currency for the task you want to achieve. I think of it like having a toolbox. You don’t just have a hammer for every single task. You have different tools for different tasks, like a screwdriver, drill, wrench..etc. I believe that how money should be as well. I think the sky is the limit when it comes to cryptocurrency being useful. The way money is handled now all digitally means the transition wouldn’t be as tough for most people to adopt.

I think another thing that needs to happen is Bitcoin along with competing cryptos need to produce some kind of physical form. Sounds old school, yes. But I think there is distinct security advantages in having a physical copy of certain things. I also think this will happen with adoption process especially among older users. There is potential that physical money could be phased out completely. But having a physical manifestation of the currency you hold might calm the concerns of some apprehensive users.

In conclusion, Bitcoin can in fact get better if it has legit competition. It can gain wider acceptance by competing with other coins. It’s security features will grow over time by the increase in users. I believe that an economy using multiple currencies with distinct advantages would be a very healthy economy. I think giving people different tools for each financial transaction or task is something that we lack now. I mean what does the dollar really do well? (Besides lose value) I’m hoping that in the future, I can finally attain some Bitcoin. I really like the future that it presents for currencies everywhere.

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Government by Subscription? Pragmatic Solution for “Libertarianism”

I’ve come across a number of random ideas some bad and some brilliant. Ever since I heard Thaddaeus Russell in “Monopoly on Violence” a pro-anarchy documentary, talk about Government by subscription. I’ve been intrigued. Its about six months since I first watched that documentary. I think I’m finally ready to explore my thoughts on it, in writing. Russell describes Government by subscription as this idea that you could opt-in or opt–out of any government. He always states a long held belief that government must be tied to some contingent of land or area. In his vision of government by subscription the ties to land would be done away with, instead you would have a choice of any government without geographic restriction. There is also the implication that you would have a choice to opt-out completely. To be fair, I will state immediately that my preference would be to live under no government. Don’t let that make you think this is a bad idea. Let me explain further:

Question: There’s always a gap between ending the current system of government and how it will function if individual rights comes to the forefront of society? Many libertarians and anarchists struggle to answer very specific questions about how society will deal with a potential power vacuum. I don’t think that the power vacuum will be as dramatic as some critics try to claim. We have to remember that overthrowing government would be voluntary and cultural. So if you don’t want to associate with or take responsibility for your own self ownership, there are options.

Well to be fair, there is just one other option and that’s to continue to live under a government. But I think it would have to change slightly especially given that anyone could choose self ownership in any territory.. Throughout history, government by in large has been connected to territory, a specific territory. What’s even more weird is that in height of the British empire, the Kings and Queens during those times, ruled from London, England. It work semi-fine if you consider the slowness of communication at the time. The historical implications to me seem to tell us that governments can operate without being near their subjects. But there are other problems such picking to live unmolested by government but still getting molested.

Government’s bullying individuals who choose to live freely could be problem but I think the attitude of the cultural and social factors will be play into this more than anything. Lately, I’ve hearing from other libertarians both big name and unknown that we need to try to change the cultural mindset. We have to use tactics from the left to get the cultural behind us. “Libertarians” are more than often the most book smart people you’ll encounter. But I think socially, we tend to ignore the importance of being relevant in the culture. Many critics of “libertarians” throw the same generalized criticism of utopian on the whole philosophy. Often times, and in my own past, we are unapologetic about what we think should happen within a proper “Libertarian” society. All I am suggesting here is that if “Libertarians” especially big name, influential ones, adopt a more pragmatic solution like government by subscription, we might gain more credence.

I think by giving what many “minarchists” and Rand Paul type conservatives their basic government services model that could grab a bunch of dejected former Trump supporters. Remember one of Trump’s many slogans was “drain the swamp”. Of course, he did nothing of the sort but I think in 2016, many conservatives saw that government was far overreaching its bounds and need to be trimmed back. All of this is to say this idea of government by subscription might be a way to centralize power especially among moderate normies in both left and right camps. It might even persuade some fringe groups to jump in. The reason is because there is really no “rules” except the idea that each individual has a right to self ownership. In that vain, each person can choose to participate in government.

For those of you who would choose to live under a government and are worried this is some anarchist con, you don’t have to worry. I would imagine that if you choose to live under a government, you would pay taxes, get a “vote” if your system of government does that, and receive benefits. For you minarchists out there, it might be low taxes with police and fire protection. I think there would be one slight change in how services are delivered. I would imagine that each government would send money to all the necessary local services to serve its citizen or citizens in that particular area. Similar to what the government does now except it might have to be more honest with that tax money. (otherwise some citizens are getting left high and dry) As for us pesky anarchists, we would just pay out of pocket when we need police or fire protection, and etc etc.

To conclude I just want to mention that government by subscription really allows everyone to choose along ideological lines under which system of tyranny they’d like to experience. It gets rid of the geographical restrictions. We have to remember that most war occurs over territory. Plus with the likely diaspora of citizens across the world, a government might have trouble finding an enemy. But most importantly, it allows for the greatest degree of individual freedom and it doesn’t leave a power vacuum. It doesn’t give anyone a reason to fight with anyone else. It will force politics become a mostly local thing. It will force governments to be fiscally responsibility or risk losing their citizens. You might be still asking how do we bring this about? Well, start on social media. Start pitching the idea. Let’s get this cultural revolution started.

Let’s make government optional. Let me know what you think about it?

Thanks for reading!

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Identify yourself: Labels become meaningless.

The recent drama on social media at least in my view has been over the use of political identifying labels. Many such accusations, many such occurrences of labels being fought over. This fight stems from comments by President Trump who incorrectly identified rioters as “anarchists”. The irony being that none of the rioters were anarchists rather just opportunists, seeking some free shit. I’ll get into the rioters and protests later. This post will be a mixture of recent events and also some philosophy regarding the self proclaimed and given labels that people tend to take when positioning themselves within a political sphere.

I’ll be honest, I use to take part in this labeling system. You can scroll back in this very blog and find posts about becoming a “libertarian”. You can also see that my view of “libertarianism” was much different a few years to right now. Like many others, I started out believing the “libertarian” movement was a middle ground. As I learned more, I started to realize it was actually above and completely separated from actual politics. Its unfortunate that “Libertarian” Party still maintains the centered position of an in-between or third party option. Right now, I don’t actively support or discourage support of the “Libertarian” party. However, I do believe their platform and their way of promoting it is off-based. Its almost misleading because the LP acts like they would maintain government just smaller. (here’s the issue, government never gets smaller or reduces power) Anyway, my point is I can understand the approach because I once supported that.

Lets get it back to those current/recent events, when Trump called out “anarchists”, he really meant those creating unrest and agitating an already tense atmosphere. I know that rioters aren’t real anarchists because a real anarchist wouldn’t attack private businesses, they would head to the Federal Reserve or Congress. Thats where the real enemies live. I think its fairly common knowledge that the groups who protest and riot like Antifa and Black Lives Matter are deep state funded psyops. George Soros has been linked to both groups on various occasions. (Just do some research) These groups are not in any matter of speaking “anti-state”. In fact, they don’t want to get rid of the state, just make it more tyrannical and worse than it is already.

I’ve written before that Black Lives Matter in particular, bases their whole agenda off of flawed numbers. If you look at actual numbers of people shot by police, it would show the number they point to as unacceptable is a lower percentage than other races. Meaning more white people are shot by police than black people. Granted, it doesn’t negate the need to get rid of police or prove racism isn’t real. If you want to read about fixing the police, I wrote something on that here. As for the racism point, unfortunately no amount of laws and training will fix that. Its up to you and only YOU to fix that. If you as an individual decides to treat everybody equally regardless of their skin color then that will eliminate racism more effectively than any government could do.

So what does any of this have to do with labels? Well, like I was saying in the third paragraph, that those rioters that Trump called “anarchists” aren’t really so. It was this comment that made me and a bunch of other people go “wait a second, I don’t want to be associated with them, I don’t condone violence”. The same line of thinking could be applied to the LP and their behavior, sort of toting the line between “we’ll actually reduce government” and “we’re just republicans lite”. All of this plus some controversy on the legitimacy of agorism as a means for political change. If you don’t know agorism is merely the voluntary exchange of goods and services without government intervention or oversight. Many liberty minded people identify as agorist. (which presents little problem to me, personally)

Now whether or not agorism will bring about the political change necessary to actually change society is a question too far out of this scope. However, a lot of the arguments that surround labels also involve the actions taken. Its not just the words, but its what you do under those words. Language can multiple different meanings in various contexts. The complexity of language is the fact that all the features and different meaning of any given word can be attributed to culture, time, place, people, events..etc. For example, the word “anarchist” was first attributed to the leftist philosophies. During the french revolution just after the American one, many of the agitators were anarchists who were actually seeking overthrow the regime. Anarchist didn’t become associated with voluntarism and personal freedom until later on in the 19th century.

The thing about labels is that you can’t stop anyone from taking one and nobody can stop you. The question remains how do you stop a label from being co-opted into a philosophy that is diametrically opposed? I truly believe there is no way to stop it. Therefore, it comes back to actions. In respect to actions, I think there is importance in how you treat others who do use a label you find disgusting or associated with a bad philosophy. (political/economic philosophy) For me, personally I give each person a chance to prove their worth. If you can offer sound ideas and evidence then its cool if you want to be a “constitutional libertarian”. The problems occur with “Socialist Libertarian” because unless you know nothing of philosophy, those two philosophies are the opposite of each other. Its an oxymoron. It seems that the most consternation is between “anarchists” , “libertarians”, “agorist” and “hoppeans”. Libertarianism is known for its infighting which what I suspect most of this label madness comes from. Rather than trying to figure who’s right or wrong, I’m going dedicated the rest of the post to things you can do sans label and forward the process of removing the state.

There’s the stuff I always advocate for like not voting, agorism ( I mean actually voluntary exchanging goods and services, not just the label), educating others on good economic policy. There is another popular and controversial take: Cryptocurrency. Its not a subject I’ve dedicated much time to writing about. But a conversation on twitter got me thinking about a future post on budgeting and investing. I think that Cryptocurrency especially big name ones like Bitcoin is an fascinating and interesting way to fight the state. As everyone should know the government’s control of money translates into control over many aspects of your life. (This is why real anarchists burn the federal reserve)

Bitcoin is basically the anti-fiat currency. It has a fixed source amount which means only so much Bitcoin is available at any certain time. The limit quantity means that Bitcoin maintains its scarcity. This compares with the Federal Reserve’s ability to print as much money as it wants. Bitcoin is also easy to use because its fully digital. Bitcoin isn’t by any stretch of the imagination, a perfect medium. (I know a few people who will disagree but listen, I’m not hating) Some of my personal criticisms of Bitcoin are that it lacks that wide acceptance that fiat has by default. I believe this can easily change when society realizes fiat is terrible. I know that some people dislike the lack of physical and tangible bitcoins. I can understand why and don’t see why with wider acceptance, a physical bitcoin could be put into use. I think the another problem with Bitcoin is that it gets a bad rap because of its wild shifts in value and volatility. But this is as much due to fiat currency being manipulated against us as does the soundness of Bitcoin.

I think that in a real world system with Bitcoin, other currencies would have to exist as competition. You might be wondering well how the heck would competing currency improve Bitcoin? Well first off, imagine if you had a few different currency to choose from. Each one has a different value or buying power. Some might be digital only, fiat only or both. Which one would you choose? Probably the one with the best buying power. But you might choose differently depending on your use intention. Competition also means exchange rates. Even in today’s world, investors and governments often use exchange rates to get the best value on their money. I have a good example of why exchange rates are so important. I read a book once called “The Euro: How a Common Currency Threatens the Future of Europe” by Joseph Stiglitz. In this book, Stiglitz describes the failure of the Euro which was meant to unite the European Union. One of problems with the Euro was that it eliminated exchange rates between the different member countries of the EU. The problem become apparent when the recession hit in 2008. Countries that were in trouble such as Greece couldn’t leverage exchange rates in loans from better off countries like Germany.

So my point is that cryptocurrency seems like a legitimate option. I think even with the obvious flaws, as the Bitcoin extraordinaire Rollo says “Bitcoin fixes this”. As for labels, I have personally decided to remove all such labeling from myself. However, if asked I will say that I believe in “Libertarian philosophy”. I think the co-opting of words lacks any defense and therefore its a waste to time to even try. I rather put out what I believe and allow others to label me however they see fit. You can do the same or take a label. But you should be aware that its meaningless to most everyone except you. Its painfully clear on twitter and other social media that many people adopt labels of which they know nothing about.

Thanks for reading! Stay tuned, I hope next week to write that budgeting/investing post that I reference earlier. Keep your principles and morals in tact.

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